OpticOdds market behaviour — Manchester Originals v Birmingham Phoenix

Recorded 2026-07-26 05:01:00 UTC → 2026-07-26 11:47:30 UTC · 407 min

⚠️ Thin match — only 11 markets priced (likely an associate / low-coverage game).
11markets tracked 63%flapped (gone & back) 25disappearances observed 48smedian gap 419slongest gap 0wickets

1 · Open-market count over time

Live selection count over the match. koth-prod at each 2s poll; OO AI at the comparison cadence (~30s). Dips = markets vanishing in bulk. Red dashed = wickets. The solid black line marks match start — pre-match time (if captured) is compressed into the left 12% so the in-play action gets the room; axis ticks read −Xh pre-match then +Nm from first ball.

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2 · Per-market visibility (top 16 flappers)

visible gone (dropped) no data (laptop) wicket

Moneyline · Birmingham PhoenixTeam With Top Batsman · Birmingham PhoenixMost Fours 3-Way · Birmingham PhoenixTeam With Top Bowler · Birmingham PhoenixMost Fours 3-Way · DrawWill There Be A Fifty · NoWill There Be A Fifty · YesTotal Run Outs · · 0.5To Win The Toss · Birmingham PhoenixTeam Total Fours · Birmingham Phoenix · 12Total Fours · · 27.50m20m40m60m80m100m120m140m160m180m200m220m240m260m280m300m320m340m360m380m400m

Top flapping markets · koth-prod

MarketReappearsDisappearancesLongest gapPrice points
Moneyline · Birmingham Phoenix45279s5
Team With Top Batsman · Birmingham Phoenix23419s3
Most Fours 3-Way · Birmingham Phoenix23419s3
Team With Top Bowler · Birmingham Phoenix23419s3
Most Fours 3-Way · Draw23419s3
Will There Be A Fifty · No1248s2
Will There Be A Fifty · Yes1248s2
Total Run Outs · · 0.5010s1
To Win The Toss · Birmingham Phoenix010s1
Team Total Fours · Birmingham Phoenix · 12.5010s1
Total Fours · · 27.5010s1
Moneyline · Birmingham PhoenixMost Fours 3-Way · Birmingham PhoenixTeam With Top Bowler · Birmingham PhoenixMost Fours 3-Way · DrawTeam With Top Batsman · Birmingham PhoenixWill There Be A Fifty · NoWill There Be A Fifty · YesTo Win The Toss · Birmingham PhoenixTotal Fours · · 27.5Team Total Fours · Birmingham Phoenix · 12Total Run Outs · · 0.50m20m40m60m80m100m120m140m160m180m200m220m240m260m280m300m320m340m360m380m400m

Top flapping markets · OO AI · sampled at the comparison cadence (~30s)

MarketReappearsDisappearancesLongest gapPrice points
Moneyline · Birmingham Phoenix45279s0
Most Fours 3-Way · Birmingham Phoenix23419s0
Team With Top Bowler · Birmingham Phoenix23419s0
Most Fours 3-Way · Draw23419s0
Team With Top Batsman · Birmingham Phoenix23419s0
Will There Be A Fifty · No1248s0
Will There Be A Fifty · Yes1248s0
To Win The Toss · Birmingham Phoenix010s0
Total Fours · · 27.5010s0
Team Total Fours · Birmingham Phoenix · 12.5010s0
Total Run Outs · · 0.5010s0

5 · Cricinfo vs OO event-detection lag

No matched Cricinfo↔OO events in this log (need match_event records from a live match).

3 · Markets missing in OO AI

Specific markets the other side priced (at any point in the match) that OO AI never offered once — genuine coverage gaps, not flapping. Grouped by market type; expand a row to see exactly which selections / lines are absent. (Markets OO AI does offer but that blink out are flapping — see §2, not counted here.)

vs koth-prod · 0 markets / 0 types

none — OO AI priced every market the others did.

vs books (≥2 books) · 22 markets / 15 types — with book median odds

Highest Opening Partnership 3-Way · 2 markets · 4 books
  • Birmingham Phoenix · None → 2.21 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Draw · None → 33.93 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Most Run Outs 3-Way · 2 markets · 2 books
  • Birmingham Phoenix · None → 3.25 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Draw · None → 1.91 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Most Sixes 3-Way · 2 markets · 2 books
  • Birmingham Phoenix · None → 2.67 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Draw · None → 5.64 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Total Fours Odd/Even · 2 markets · 3 books
  • Even · None → 1.87 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Odd · None → 1.87 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Total Runs Odd/Even · 2 markets · 2 books
  • Even · None → 2.00 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Odd · None → 1.79 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Will There Be A Century · 2 markets · 1 books
  • No · None → 1.01 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Yes · None → 13.00 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Will There Be A Tie · 2 markets · 3 books
  • No · None → 1.01 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
  • Yes · None → 21.00 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
1st Inning Team Total Run Outs · 1 market · 2 books
  • Birmingham Phoenix · 0.5 → 1.65 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
1st Over Team Total · 1 market · 4 books
  • Birmingham Phoenix · 4.5 → 1.87 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Moneyline · 1 market · 4 books
  • Manchester Originals · None → 1.56 · Batery, Fonbet, Stake
Team Total Wickets Lost · 1 market · 3 books
  • Birmingham Phoenix · 6.5 → 1.85 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
To Win The Toss · 1 market · 4 books
  • Manchester Originals · None → 1.90 · Batery, Fonbet, Stake
Total Extras · 1 market · 3 books
  • · 14.5 → 1.85 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Total Runs · 1 market · 1 books
  • · 252.5 → 1.85 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)
Total Wickets · 1 market · 3 books
  • · 12.5 → 1.96 · Jugabet (Argentina), Jugabet (Chile), Parimatch (Brazil), Parimatch (India)

4 · Median price level — koth-prod vs OO AI vs books

Median decimal odds on the common basket (markets all three price, mainline). The gap between lines is the pricing divergence; OO AI is dashed so it stays visible where it overlaps the books line.

koth-prod OpticOdds AI (dashed) books median

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